Here are eight questions we don't yet have the answers to.
1. Who shot down the plane?
Only a full investigation
can settle that. This much we know: Flight MH17 was shot down using a
surface-to-air missile in Ukrainian territory that's controlled by
pro-Russian rebels.
Ukraine's government says
it has "compelling evidence" that a Russian-supplied battery, manned by
Russian operatives, fired the missile. The United States has also
pointed the finger at the Russian-trained rebels.
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"We have a video showing a
launcher moving back through a particular area there, out into Russia,
with at least one missing missile on it," Secretary of State John Kerry
said on CNN's State of the Union on Sunday.
But Russia has denied any
involvement. So have the rebels, who accuse the Ukrainians of downing
the plane -- without offering proof.
2. Why would anyone target a passenger plane?
If indeed the rebels are
behind the attack, they may have mistaken the plane for a Ukrainian
military craft. In the past few months, the rebels have used
surface-to-air missiles to bring down more than a dozen planes,
including two transport aircraft, the U.S. Embassy in Kiev said.
Shortly after the crash,
Igor Strelkov, the self-proclaimed defense minister of the Donetsk
People's Republic, claimed on social media that the rebels had shot down
a military transport plane. Those posts were later deleted once it
turned out the plane was a civilian aircraft.
"It has the earmarks of a
mistaken identification of an aircraft that they may have believed was
Ukrainian," Arizona Sen. John McCain told MSNBC.
3. Why was the plane flying over a war zone?
Most airlines follow
rules set by national civil aviation authorities and take the most
direct route available, said Mary Schiavo, a former inspector general of
the U.S. Department of Transportation.
The Malaysia Airlines
flight left Amsterdam for Kuala Lumpur. It flew over eastern Ukraine,
which is a common route for international carriers.
Last week, Eurocontrol,
the agency responsible for coordinating European airspace, said
Ukrainian authorities had closed airspace in the region below 32,000
feet, but it was open at the level Flight 17 was flying (33,000 feet).
"There's a lot of
questions to be asked in a lot of different places," CNN aviation
analyst Miles O'Brien said. "Why didn't government officials close off
that airspace completely? 32,000 feet, that's a completely arbitrary
number."
4. When will international investigators get access to the crash site?
No one knows.
A U.N. Security Council
meeting ended early Monday morning, with Australia introducing a
resolution that called for a swift international investigation.
"There's no doubt that
at the moment the site is under the control of the Russian-backed
rebels. And given the almost certain culpability of the Russian-backed
rebels in the downing of the aircraft, having those people in control of
the site is a little like leaving criminals in control of a crime
scene," Australia's Prime Minister Tony Abbott said Monday.
But Russia, which has
veto power as permanent member of the council, wants a modified
resolution -- one that leaves out Ukraine from any investigation.
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5. Where are the so-called black boxes?
The rebels say they have recovered something, but can't be certain those are the flight data and cockpit voice recorders.
"These are some technical objects. We cannot say for sure these are black boxes," rebel leader Alex Borodai told CNN.
Finding the devices is crucial; they will offer vital clues to the plane's last moments.
What happens to the black boxes is also unclear.
In audio intercepts
released by the Ukrainian government, a rebel leader is heard saying
that Moscow is very interested in the black boxes and urges his
followers to look for them urgently. (CNN can't vouch for the
authenticity of the audio).
6. Have all the victims' bodies been recovered?
There's no way to tell.
Rebels are keeping most
of the bodies in two refrigerated train cars about 10 miles away from
the site. And while international observers confirmed they saw "dozens
and dozens" of bodies in the train, there was no way to verify the
total.
7. What will happen to the remains?
That, too, is mired in politics. No one yet knows when they will be identified or where they will end up.
Alex Borodai, the rebel
leader, says he'd rather hand over the remains to relatives -- but only
after "experts" examine them. He says he fears if the remains are turned
over to Ukraine, the government would use them as evidence to blame his
fighters for shooting down the plane.
"I want the bodies,"
Selena Fredriksz sobbed at a memorial at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on
Sunday. Her son, 23-year-old Bryce, was one of the passengers on the
plane. "They can have anything, but the bodies have to come back. Take
their iPhones, take their money, take everything."
8. How will Russia respond?
If an investigation
concludes the plane was shot down by rebels using a Russian-supplied
missile -- or, worse still, by Russians themselves -- President Vladimir
Putin will have two choices. And neither, says Professor Daniel
Treisman, works to his advantage.
Putin could reject the
conclusions and stand by the rebels. If he does so, he risks becoming an
international pariah. The West might also hit Russia with even tougher
economic sanctions, enough to cripple its economy and send it into a
recession.
Or, Putin could sever ties with the rebels. But that could present problems too.
"A relentless barrage of
propaganda has convinced many Russians that their co-ethnics in Donetsk
and Luhansk are being massacred by troops commanded by a fascist regime
in Kiev," said Treisman, who teaches political science at the
University of California, Los Angeles, and who authored the book, "The
Return: Russia's Journey from Gorbachev to Medvedev."
"For Putin to bow to international pressure and abandon his former charges would look like cowardice."
credit to cnn
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